tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-53945582023770047662024-03-05T23:59:34.983-08:00Baja Mexico Surf Forecast<b>Because you should be able to understand your Surf Forecast...</b> A simple, straightforward, easy-to-use, surf forecast for Baja Mexico by Adam Wright, professional Surf ForecasterAnonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.comBlogger97125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-70717487518749461732011-06-27T12:45:00.001-07:002011-06-27T12:45:05.902-07:00<script type="text/javascript" src="http://output71.rssinclude.com/output?type=js&id=285859&hash=96afd93602d2e263c50c2a01f2be8c56"></script>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-92112066350661416372010-11-19T14:42:00.001-08:002010-11-19T14:42:17.888-08:00Where did the forecast go?Hey guys…I know most of you already know where to find the forecasts now that they are over on Solspot.com…our new, much more powerful site.<br /><br />But just in case some of you new visitors googled in…I wanted to make sure that you can find all of the new cool stuff. This blog isn’t updating the forecast anymore, all of that has been pushed over to the new site. Here are a few of the links that will hopefully help you find some waves (and hopefully good conditions too.)<br /><br />For those of you that just wanted the forecast without any of the bells and whistles…The same ol’ Socal Forecast can be found here (this is the normal forecast for all of Southern California and generally gives you all the info you need to find surf for the next day)<br /><br /><a href="http://surf.solspot.com/content/category/short-range-forecast">http://surf.solspot.com/content/category/short-range-forecast</a><br /><br />Here is the link to my long-range forecasts where you can find all the details you need to plan your surf sessions for the next several days, and some even longer range outlooks that can give you a heads up on incoming swells.<br /><br /><a href="http://surf.solspot.com/content/category/long-range-forecast">http://surf.solspot.com/content/category/long-range-forecast</a><br /><br />Since the Southern California coastline is all jacked up (uh I mean unique)…we took the forecast and broke it down into a bunch of different “zones” that help to show how much swell, what sort of wind, and how the tides are going to affect the different regions.<br /><br /><a href="http://surf.solspot.com/activity/surf/sub-region/index.php?id=8" target="_blank">Santa Barbara</a><br /><a href="http://surf.solspot.com/activity/surf/sub-region/index.php?id=7" target="_blank">Ventura</a><br /><a href="http://surf.solspot.com/activity/surf/sub-region/index.php?id=6" target="_blank">North LA</a><br /><a href="http://surf.solspot.com/activity/surf/sub-region/index.php?id=5" target="_blank">the South Bay</a><br /><a href="http://surf.solspot.com/activity/surf/sub-region/index.php?id=4" target="_blank">North Orange County</a><br /><a href="http://surf.solspot.com/activity/surf/sub-region/index.php?id=3" target="_blank">South Orange County</a><br /><a href="http://surf.solspot.com/activity/surf/sub-region/index.php?id=2" target="_blank">North San Diego</a><br /><a href="http://surf.solspot.com/activity/surf/sub-region/index.php?id=1" target="_blank">South San Diego</a><br /><br />If that wasn’t enough we even put together a pretty comprehensive list of the surf breaks and beaches in each region. These aren’t surf reports, but they give very specific weather, wind, tides, water-quality, and a bunch of other cool stuff. When you first drop onto a spot page you will see “Current or Live” information, but if you click around you can find all kinds of cool stuff (like hour-by-hour wind forecasts going out for a full week…just the thing you need to plan a midday session if the winds lay down.) Check em out when you get a chance…<br /><br /><b>Santa Barbara County Spots</b><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="">Gaviota State Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" quemada="">Arroyo Quemada</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Refugio State Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">El Capitan State Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Haskells Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Summerland Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Goleta Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Butterfly Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" creek="">East Beach at Sycamore Creek</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Hammonds Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Hope Ranch Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" creek="">East Beach at Mission Creek</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" point="">Sands at Coal Oil Point</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Arroyo Burro Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Leadbetter Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Carpinteria City Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Carpinteria State Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Rincon Beach</a><br /><br /><b>Ventura County Spots</b><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">La Conchita Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Mussel Shoals Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Oil Piers Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" park="">Hobson County Park</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" faria="">Faria</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Solimar Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Emma Wood State Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" street="">C-street</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">San Buenaventura Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" jetty="">Ventura Harbor South Jetty</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" knoll="">Surfers Knoll</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">McGrath State Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" park="">Oxnard Beach Park</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" sea="">Hollywood by the Sea</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" silverstrand="">Silverstrand</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" park="">Port Hueneme Beach Park</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Point Mugu Beach</a><br /><br /><b>North Los Angeles County Spots</b><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">County Line Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Leo Carrillo Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Will Rogers State Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Topanga State Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" malibu="">Malibu</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Santa Monica Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" pier="">Paradise Cove Pier</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Zuma Beach</a><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><b>South Los Angeles County Spots</b><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Venice City Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" dockweiler="">Dockweiler</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" porto="">El Porto</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" pier="">Manhattan Beach Pier</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Hermosa Redondo Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" haggertys="">Haggertys</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" bay="">Lunada Bay</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" verdes="">Rancho Palos Verdes</a><br /><br /><b>North Orange County Spots</b><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Seal Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" pier="">Seal Beach Pier</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Surfside Sunset Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222"></a><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Bolsa Chica State<br />Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" cliffs="">Huntington Cliffs</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Huntington City Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Huntington State Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" mouth="">Santa Ana River Mouth</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Upper Jetties Newport<br />Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" blackies="">Newport Pier Blackies</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">15th Street Newport Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" wedge="">Wedge</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Corona del Mar Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Laguna Beach Crescent Bay Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Laguna Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="">Aliso Creek Beach South Laguna</a><br /><br /><b>South Orange County Spots</b><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Salt Creek Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Dana Point Harbor Baby Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Doheny Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">Capistrano Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" clemente="">T Street San Clemente</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" county="" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="">San Clemente State Beach</a><br /><br /><b>North San Diego Spots</b><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" church="" diego="">Church</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" diego="">Trestles</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" diego="" onofre="">San Onofre State Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" diego="" onofre="">Old Mans San Onofre</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" jetty="" diego="">Trails San Onofre</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" diego="" way="">Oceanside Surfrider Way</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" diego="" oceanside="">Cassidy Street Oceanside</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" diego="" carlsbad="">Tamarack Av Carlsbad</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" diego="" carlsbad="">Ponto Carlsbad</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" diego="" leucadia="">Beacons Beach Leucadia</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" diego="" encinitas="">Moonlight Beach Encinitas</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" diego="" encinitas="">Swamis Beach Encinitas</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" diego="" elijo="">Cardiff State Beach San Elijo</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" park="" diego="">Seaside State Park</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="" diego="">Del Mar San Dieguito River Beach</a><br /><br /><br /><b>South San Diego Spots</b><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="" diego="">Blacks Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" diego="" shores="">La Jolla Shores</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="" diego="">Windansea Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" diego="" tourmaline="">Pacific Beach Tourmaline</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="" diego="">Mission Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" diego="">Ocean Beach </a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" cliffs="" diego="">Sunset Cliffs</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="" diego="">Coronado Beach</a><br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=9188177714352932222" target="_blank" california="" pacific="" weather="" com="" beach="" diego="">Imperial Beach</a>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-14777137170443632742009-12-03T14:29:00.001-08:002009-12-03T14:29:58.657-08:00Storm and Swell Alert – North Pacific is looking to get NastySo I have been looking at the forecast charts and the swell models for the last few days (well lets not kid anyone…my near OCD has me looking at the charts all the time…and once I find a way I will probably have it fed directly into my brain). So like I said, I have been looking at the charts and there, right at the end of the forecast run, was this ugly mutant of a storm. <br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgF-oCvygTO9mpBr2FU3Fo3QIVe4Qr_sJkY8_fWlk_iAFWopqq1kbF02af7l6XfcjnfhOpyUX71rq8uYXKChfI4Su7qr58P3_ceU4cicm0m7mDzxPsSpdSHl1Z7baOUNyXWoqSECWHIWAQ/s1600-h/Mutie_storm.jpg"><img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 347px; height: 400px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgF-oCvygTO9mpBr2FU3Fo3QIVe4Qr_sJkY8_fWlk_iAFWopqq1kbF02af7l6XfcjnfhOpyUX71rq8uYXKChfI4Su7qr58P3_ceU4cicm0m7mDzxPsSpdSHl1Z7baOUNyXWoqSECWHIWAQ/s400/Mutie_storm.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5410802881396311602" /></a><br /><br />Usually I don’t put a ton of faith in the weather models when we move waaaaaaay out into the forecast run, they have a tendency to overcall things, and the timing is rarely ever correct…but in this case this storm definitely caught my eye. <br /><br />Now, a couple of days later, the storm is still there on the charts and the swell models are still calling for it to crank out a LOT of swell…particularly for Hawaii (and the really, really unlucky people that live in the Aleutian Islands.) There is also a pretty large hunk of WNW swell that is supposed to head over to California, hitting NorCal pretty hard and throwing some large surf into Socal as well.<br /><br />I am still a little “iffy” on the storm’s intensity and timing since it is not forecast to develop for another 4-5 days, which, for me, is still in the marginal area of the forecast run. Personally I would like to have the storm get a couple of days closer to developing before we start ringing alarm bells. <br /><br />OK, that being said, lets look at what we can expect if this storm lives up to the current forecast. <br /><br /><b>- WEATHER NERD WARNING –</b><br /> <br />The storm itself is part of what is called a “complex low-pressure”, which basically means that it is a series of fronts and low-pressure centers that are all mixing together in one big mess. Usually with these complex lows you have an “anchor” low-pressure that sits up in the higher-latitudes and a series of intense storms that push through the mid-upper latitudes like they are riding some crazy merry-go-round. <br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiJA1bLMuSTSCidDPGuEVZB2bL0kT4fZOJczUyflH-mc_XJTsg3acuQGcY7RCeUd7GXAggZ7B34icI_LffefrwadUul9GYZRE3xBw83LcwAO6dcSsgGGtmj9YWuSyv9Czg9XWoau1Vnsyk/s1600-h/Complex_low.jpg"><img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 314px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiJA1bLMuSTSCidDPGuEVZB2bL0kT4fZOJczUyflH-mc_XJTsg3acuQGcY7RCeUd7GXAggZ7B34icI_LffefrwadUul9GYZRE3xBw83LcwAO6dcSsgGGtmj9YWuSyv9Czg9XWoau1Vnsyk/s400/Complex_low.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5410802705030675586" /></a><br /><br />In this case the anchor low is currently developing, and will likely move into place over the upcoming weekend…and even though it is the leading element of the bigger system it will be sending out waves as well (that will arrive a few days earlier than the larger system). <br /><br />The most intense part of this complex low is when everything sort of collapses into one big low-pressure…which happens in about 4-5 days. <br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj2ijDJXp3jKDNPCJqME5kevGhT_R_t_ZgvhUjBPeao0JbrsL1c259jHsDhPI8j1AYuvgfS2_Bq4mJLWYmHgwLDn9FWysv2kpEsZFzlL3TvG0UamSj-AsnGLBUEbVth0RYAkLnqz9I2zqk/s1600-h/GFS_full_12.06_FNMOC.jpg"><img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 314px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj2ijDJXp3jKDNPCJqME5kevGhT_R_t_ZgvhUjBPeao0JbrsL1c259jHsDhPI8j1AYuvgfS2_Bq4mJLWYmHgwLDn9FWysv2kpEsZFzlL3TvG0UamSj-AsnGLBUEbVth0RYAkLnqz9I2zqk/s400/GFS_full_12.06_FNMOC.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5410802694653111186" /></a><br /><br />The current GFS pressure model is calling for the low pressure to drop to something close to 952mb, (which if this was a tropical storm/hurricane it would be something close to a category 3 system…which is why the Holy Crap is on that chart). As a frontal storm it means that winds will be close to 50-60+ knots near the core of the low. With those sort of winds, and all the pre-existing sea-state that gets kicked up by the preceding fronts, we can expect the storm to produce something that looks like this…and yes those are 40-foot+ seas. <br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCIFaZT7cHLjhkXSG4a0yNEPuu-3sQmVvFsk4gtXkRZd0N4FnKFQf890ZqYDJyfAav456VeZNcxSe1_48sVbhWujcITj-reRwTaciLK162OE_xdMoNXaRdw1SoiGJm3CbZvYInrBqUT4c/s1600-h/Sea-state_wwIII_FNMOC.jpg"><img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 314px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCIFaZT7cHLjhkXSG4a0yNEPuu-3sQmVvFsk4gtXkRZd0N4FnKFQf890ZqYDJyfAav456VeZNcxSe1_48sVbhWujcITj-reRwTaciLK162OE_xdMoNXaRdw1SoiGJm3CbZvYInrBqUT4c/s400/Sea-state_wwIII_FNMOC.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5410802692210452258" /></a><br /><br />Needless to say that even if the top 10-15-feet of that is just storm fluff there will still be a pretty significant swell forming from this storm. <br /><br /><b>END WEATHER NERD SECTION</b><br /><br />Surfwise…<b>Hawaii is forecast to receive the largest chunk of energy</b>…likely something in the range of 18-20 feet of deepwater energy at 17-20 seconds, which can translate to 30-40-foot faces as it hits some of the Hawaiian reefs. The swell is pretty NW’erly in swell angle, which is good for spots like Jaws (Peahi). It looks like this swell will come up fast late on Dec 6th with the peak of the swell hitting overnight into Dec 7th. One thing that could suck is the winds…the trailing part of the storm’s front could show around the same time setting up W-NW winds which doesn’t do the north shores of any islands and good. <br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjMqWbOAcKyHplx8XgUoMeZjsPJDkJ_KP_V36nT83KM7HLgUSlBukb5AiW4E4zpW1ltoXVb8pTOr8m_Q-i1JOuCjIfH42fEVp-MtE_XTDUDvFFO3BVwALDoprwXG6iOPwiNgYxy4aux7IY/s1600-h/Hawaii_weather.jpg"><img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 344px; height: 215px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjMqWbOAcKyHplx8XgUoMeZjsPJDkJ_KP_V36nT83KM7HLgUSlBukb5AiW4E4zpW1ltoXVb8pTOr8m_Q-i1JOuCjIfH42fEVp-MtE_XTDUDvFFO3BVwALDoprwXG6iOPwiNgYxy4aux7IY/s400/Hawaii_weather.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5410802688278335202" /></a><br /><br /><b>Northern and Central California</b> will see a smaller but still impressive amount of energy that will hit North of Point Conception…something like 15-16 feet of deepwater swell at 18-20 seconds. This will show some energy late on Dec 8th but will likely peak throughout the day on 9th…the angle will be pretty WNW’erly (275-295) which means that it will hit a lot more spots with more energy than the NW swells usually do.<br /><br /><b>Southern California</b> is forecast to see this swell showing some long-period energy, particularly at the more northerly counties of Santa Barbara and Ventura, by the afternoon on the 9th. The peak of the swell will hit throughout the day on the 10th. The WNW angle works better for Socal as well (280-300), so there will be less shadowing. At this point the swell looks good for easy head high to overhead surf at the average spots, and the top spots going several feet overhead. The best San Diego spots could see more consistent double-overhead+ sets. <br /><br />Unfortunately weather looks like it will be an issue for all of California as well…a smaller cold front is forecast to bring onshore wind and rain about the same time as the swell peaks…hopefully this part of the forecast won’t be correct.<br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjeepMYxMLDFyflbwJ89tidM1_5tyouydElq9djbA4wLbzzlw5_n_yzy2zS0F31JLI3QmYJNmuuUl2yZrcFRXZJkfPZ_9n1QLynmBHLh7pa-VT3J_Ln6adaPGmdDUqGiUHk6sITrqw_LAQ/s1600-h/GFS_SAT-10_SLP_FNMOC.jpg"><img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 339px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjeepMYxMLDFyflbwJ89tidM1_5tyouydElq9djbA4wLbzzlw5_n_yzy2zS0F31JLI3QmYJNmuuUl2yZrcFRXZJkfPZ_9n1QLynmBHLh7pa-VT3J_Ln6adaPGmdDUqGiUHk6sITrqw_LAQ/s400/GFS_SAT-10_SLP_FNMOC.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5410802679298282706" /></a><br /><br />So that is all I have for now…keep in mind that this is pure forecast at this point…I will definitely keep you guys posted as the storm actually develops. Cross your fingers that it lives up to the forecast hype.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-6647025430799212202009-08-30T14:08:00.000-07:002009-08-30T14:09:19.435-07:00Tropcial Update – Tropical Storm Kevin and Hurricane JimenaMan I leave computer range for a couple of days and the whole tropical region has to get all squirrelly on me…(hmmm maybe I should leave more often…sort of like a human sacrifice). Anyhoo while I was gone we got not one, but two new tropical systems; Tropical Storm Kevin and Hurricane Jimena. <br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgSVK1S7RzWjqzLHd49d1UICTBgQmeWHHJqgw-ZqMSn3VMkE8Qmm4G28AYyi1XLKJFXyBN41CaR147LFCTQaI8hxtQpjZSgXOp2uOs6YfYZBnnMWXYd-DvkMvxAg2uMKihpkxVe7YiFwnIv/s1600-h/epac_overview.gif"><img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 250px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgSVK1S7RzWjqzLHd49d1UICTBgQmeWHHJqgw-ZqMSn3VMkE8Qmm4G28AYyi1XLKJFXyBN41CaR147LFCTQaI8hxtQpjZSgXOp2uOs6YfYZBnnMWXYd-DvkMvxAg2uMKihpkxVe7YiFwnIv/s400/epac_overview.gif" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5375866116989301154" /></a><br /><br />Right now TS Kevin is a relatively weak tropical storm with winds holding around 35 knots and few gusts around 40 knots, which puts him right over tropical depression strength. Since he is inside our swell window, and sort-of organized (showing some convection), I think that we will see some swell from Kevin…t also helps that his storm track is taking him almost directly at us. I am not expecting a lot of surf…just a weak pulse of S-SSW swell (180-190) that arrives on September 1st and sends some minor knee-chest high waves into exposed areas…the swell should linger for a couple of days but unless he gets a lot stronger we aren’t going to a ton of surf from him.<br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg4rvGT2aypHNkAoPb7lRQZDH2_8F3MMXwHrorGlqoIlvHM8nE69XFlhNCHijA27c4gbpnqYTzPqGaQSIbJa3Uzo1Zx6amBFfeNNzHrJ3mP6PrPrce94Klh_0lgp-1TuPmCpp7d1Qs4ryc1/s1600-h/TS+Kevin.gif"><img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 320px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg4rvGT2aypHNkAoPb7lRQZDH2_8F3MMXwHrorGlqoIlvHM8nE69XFlhNCHijA27c4gbpnqYTzPqGaQSIbJa3Uzo1Zx6amBFfeNNzHrJ3mP6PrPrce94Klh_0lgp-1TuPmCpp7d1Qs4ryc1/s400/TS+Kevin.gif" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5375866107716781010" /></a><br /><br />Hurricane Jimena looks a bit more bad-ass. Right now she is about 500-600 miles SE of the Tip of Baja and has already reached Category 2 strength, with core winds around 120-knots and gusts nearing 145-knots. Her current track is taking her WNW around 7-10 knots...and the hurricane models are forecasting her to recurve back into Southern Baja as she intensifies. (The NHC is likely to issue a Hurricane Watch in Southern Baja for Jimena later tonight or tomorrow).<br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhrPBGiEOX-c4q-gFBV4pG2BWvVTrA7spgUgmL-pyhDAAkJjo3C6OwUAzURL69bGzOdW1KeDz2l90nMiqYvU-7VJnB79Tg835YEmlW2atMoqc9MCTPP6c7FKS3DO7lImvkb6IoYN0HeOFXg/s1600-h/Hurricane+Jimena.gif"><img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 320px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhrPBGiEOX-c4q-gFBV4pG2BWvVTrA7spgUgmL-pyhDAAkJjo3C6OwUAzURL69bGzOdW1KeDz2l90nMiqYvU-7VJnB79Tg835YEmlW2atMoqc9MCTPP6c7FKS3DO7lImvkb6IoYN0HeOFXg/s400/Hurricane+Jimena.gif" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5375866103479756786" /></a><br /><br />Unfortunately for Southern California Jimena is not in our swell window…and is not forecast to reach it before making landfall. <br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjiQBIk6GTu84hy5e12gl2bYu_Z7k3CTJO_6sXmt14czXUYWwcdf0_zXp27yQyHhNQ8-y5Oxn6NMnODNfOHGlkRWg7Zqf1fag1Betbz4eJnjsHY0-q_fbiCidoERXxUzTU10ol9T2Gz8dC9/s1600-h/NPAC_Satellite.jpg"><img style="cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 267px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjiQBIk6GTu84hy5e12gl2bYu_Z7k3CTJO_6sXmt14czXUYWwcdf0_zXp27yQyHhNQ8-y5Oxn6NMnODNfOHGlkRWg7Zqf1fag1Betbz4eJnjsHY0-q_fbiCidoERXxUzTU10ol9T2Gz8dC9/s400/NPAC_Satellite.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5375866101743046322" /></a><br /><br />She will however be a wave-maker for Southern Baja, parts of Northern Mainland Mexico, and even a few of those protected spots in the Gulf of California. Swell from Jimena will be filling in today and should continue to build over the next couple of days as she continues to intensify. Sizewise it is going to be well-overhead as it peaks, and potentially very dangerous (as well as potentially very stormy) since the storm will be moving into the area.<br /><br />I think it would be quite risky to head into the area to try and get surf from Jimena…I would maybe stick it out for an extra day if I was already down at an exposed spot (unless authorities told me to leave of course), but heading down, and likely arriving as the hurricane does, won’t be the best call. Even if the hurricane doesn’t make landfall right on top of you, there are always heavy rains and flash floods that can be very dangerous. <br /><br />The track for Jimena isn’t set in stone…cross your fingers that she drifts a bit more west and swings wide in her recurve.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-21417481261688414332008-07-15T18:07:00.000-07:002008-12-11T07:03:45.094-08:00Something brewing in the South Pacific - Waves on the waySo after watching the storm, and the swell it produced, for the last couple of days it looks like things are on track for a pretty decent run of swell throughout Central America, Mainland Mexico, Baja Mexico, and Southern California.<br /><br />I revised the forecast a little from the one I issued a couple of days ago...not much size-wise but just a little on the timing.<br /><br /><strong>Central America and Southern Mainland Mexico</strong> will be the biggest...look for easy well-overhead surf for most exposed areas. Top spots will go double-overhead and bigger as the swell peaks on the 18-19th. Deepwater breaks like Puerto Escondido will be even bigger, probably triple-overhead+ on the sets.<br /><br /><strong>Northern Mainland Mexico</strong> will see the size drop off a bit...just due to the more southerly angle of the swell. Look for most spots in that area to see consistent surf in the head high to a couple of feet overhead range. Standout S facing spots will have sets going a few feet overhead as the swell peaks late on the 18 and into the 19th.<br /><br /><strong>Baja Sur</strong> will see the swell move in and peak on the 19-20th...with the tip peaking a little earlier. Most spots will be running in the shoulder-overhead range as the swell starts really working. Standout spots, particularly breaks near the Tip, will have sets going a few feet overhead and a little bigger at the swell's peak.<br /><br /><strong>Southern California and Baja Norte</strong> will have long-period energy from this S swell (170-190) showing late on Friday the 18th...this will build overnight and through Saturday, eventually peaking Saturday afternoon through Sunday, then slowly fading out on Monday. At this point we can expect the average S facing spots to see shoulder-head high+ surf while the standout S facing areas, particularly in North Orange County, see some overhead+ sets as the swell peaks. To top it off there will be some tropical energy still lingering around as leftovers from Elida slowly fade away...this energy should help to fill in the consistency gaps and put a lot of waves into the exposed areas throughout the weekend.<br /><br />Make sure to check back...I will be talking about the swell some more in the Daily Update as we get closer...or I might bail to Mexico and leave you hanging...it is about 50/50 right now (just kidding...well sort of).<br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjFS-gIxUU531vQWnR64emPzVl7cgnOqpUlhVQ4U8damkN_6rw27VxIrt572m7hMSeJsPkd0YcS_hQyIT5TEUbD8l__MHEgaJ9IGPzXkbtr8LrB1WOVmPgnszEX7qPivcO_PtqlRzdc/s1600-h/swell_period.gif"><img id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5223412818312494402" style="CURSOR: hand" alt="" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjFS-gIxUU531vQWnR64emPzVl7cgnOqpUlhVQ4U8damkN_6rw27VxIrt572m7hMSeJsPkd0YcS_hQyIT5TEUbD8l__MHEgaJ9IGPzXkbtr8LrB1WOVmPgnszEX7qPivcO_PtqlRzdc/s400/swell_period.gif" border="0" /></a><br /><div></div><br /><br />Here are some links to the previous posts<br /><br /><a href="http://socalforecast.blogspot.com/2008/07/something-brewing-in-south-pacifichmmm.html">Post 1</a><br /><a href="http://socalforecast.blogspot.com/2008/07/something-brewing-in-south-pacific-part.html">Post 2</a>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-46677749143536037882008-07-14T17:37:00.001-07:002008-12-11T07:03:45.912-08:00Hurricane Elida - Sending waves for Baja and slowly reaching the SoCal Swell WindowElida jumped to Category 1 Hurricane Strength last night and has held that level of intensity for most of the day. She has been in a good position to send swell to Baja Sur, in particular to Cabo and the East Cape...but not so much on the Pacific Side of Baja (yet, it is only a matter of time at this point).<br /><br />Currently she is moving WNW (295-degrees) at about 12 knots, which means she has slowed down a touch and is giving herself a more time to churn out swell...<br /><br />(remember that for all storms, and tropical systems in particular because of their smaller fetch, that the time that a storm's fetch spends over a patch water is as important as the movement track and the storm's intensity...if the storm is moving too fast the fetch has a limited amount of time to generate swell before it moves off to new water, expending its time/energy creating new favorable sea-state, rather than pure swell. Ideally you would want the storm to either move slowly toward you, or stay in place....check out the hurricane surf post I did at the beginning of the season for more details.)<br /><br />Anyway at this point Elida is right on the edge of the SoCal Swell Window...at her current speed and track she is likely to reach it later tonight or early tomorrow...but really the swell producing portions of the storm won't fully move into our window until Tuesday-midmorning.<br /><br />She isn't the largest storm either...current estimates only have her tropical storm strength winds extending out about 75 nautical miles from the core...and the majority of those in the NE quadrant.<br /><br />Basically what this means is that currently she is not the greatest swell producer...Baja Sur (IE Cabo and the Tip) will do ok with overhead+ surf due to the track and positioning of the storm as it came together.<br /><br />By the time it reaches the SoCal swell window it will begin to lose some steam as well as take a more westerly track. I am expecting some shoulder high surf at the standout SE facing spots, basically North Orange County, later on Thursday and into Friday. Since this will be mixing with a building S-SW swell it is going to be hard to tell the difference.<br /><br />Here are a few images that I pulled on this storm.<br /><br />This is from the Naval Research Laboratory<br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiHetyITfrGdUg1_HF71f_eW5QLQI6FCRD0-m48ySnUUfO256qfXJJ6MVEFjoBygr6VY_9w0MIfUodSg5h6A-TL6wPQ5U2kiYnhWTri_a0sSKoBnBai0YyIbMPFLoRjsYJnW9MSrFAG/s1600-h/Elida.jpg"><img id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5223033831592954386" style="CURSOR: hand" alt="" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiHetyITfrGdUg1_HF71f_eW5QLQI6FCRD0-m48ySnUUfO256qfXJJ6MVEFjoBygr6VY_9w0MIfUodSg5h6A-TL6wPQ5U2kiYnhWTri_a0sSKoBnBai0YyIbMPFLoRjsYJnW9MSrFAG/s400/Elida.jpg" border="0" /></a><br /><br />Here is a satellite image of the storm<br /><br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg0Xa8HzhnDAGfXFREK97_Xr9mp7gOvkObwySoGAwjcDZg2hHYLKZLKLYBhzWb5DI2gN8QcBawuEyowi4fUhjT5LwvjhIORDASPM8Ik_BOiEsWGXPrhJtDtHE2qVadxB18MF2F3F4mp/s1600-h/Elida_vis.jpg"><img id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5223033833926691618" style="CURSOR: hand" alt="" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg0Xa8HzhnDAGfXFREK97_Xr9mp7gOvkObwySoGAwjcDZg2hHYLKZLKLYBhzWb5DI2gN8QcBawuEyowi4fUhjT5LwvjhIORDASPM8Ik_BOiEsWGXPrhJtDtHE2qVadxB18MF2F3F4mp/s400/Elida_vis.jpg" border="0" /></a><br /><br />And finally here is a image from the NHC...check out the next new tropical disturbance forming near Guatemala.<br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgm7jQ56JLLrnEDf326AgwDlByLu4zVoi8MMgUK8I3yfPpBO2JoMhdAzYKPw57g5a0fNUd_0Co4VJCr9He-aJH9TKn_b6eTPsZqORp6yVxL8MXGX-8Qd-Be-QpUjJ_4QK0z5h1fiBqI/s1600-h/NHC_EPAC-Tropical-Disturbance.jpg"><img id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5223033839187340530" style="CURSOR: hand" alt="" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgm7jQ56JLLrnEDf326AgwDlByLu4zVoi8MMgUK8I3yfPpBO2JoMhdAzYKPw57g5a0fNUd_0Co4VJCr9He-aJH9TKn_b6eTPsZqORp6yVxL8MXGX-8Qd-Be-QpUjJ_4QK0z5h1fiBqI/s400/NHC_EPAC-Tropical-Disturbance.jpg" border="0" /></a>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-53486414442552229712008-07-13T22:12:00.001-07:002008-12-11T07:03:46.123-08:00Tropical Storm Elida – UpdateNot much has changed in the short-range portion of the forecast for TS Elida.<br /><br />She is still strengthening, she will still likely become a hurricane tomorrow, and she is still tracking out W around 14-16 knots.<br /><br />As of this evening Elida does look like she make it into the SoCal swell window with a little more intensity than it looked like in previous forecasts. If this lives up to be the case then we may see a little bit of tropical swell as we head toward the end of next week…likely on Thursday or Friday.<br /><br />It still doesn’t look like it will be a significant swell, maybe chest-high the top SSE spots…but these new tropical waves will be mixing with a stronger and more dominant S swell coming from the Southern Hemisphere, so then could ad some extra “pop” to the surf as we head into the weekend.<br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiZ-7MfoRGJwIdBOc3qHaaKT2oafvn57jW_gT2RuvgJlf7yfuXD354Zhycry8KH5TdLXvNgkZ7IKWVB0WYzc_fpPu7h4E4AffQ_xzpqoEHJHF6k89dEH6dOe7L3-2eCk__CgmV0bZhW/s1600-h/TS_Elida.gif"><img id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5222733430137384050" style="CURSOR: hand" alt="" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiZ-7MfoRGJwIdBOc3qHaaKT2oafvn57jW_gT2RuvgJlf7yfuXD354Zhycry8KH5TdLXvNgkZ7IKWVB0WYzc_fpPu7h4E4AffQ_xzpqoEHJHF6k89dEH6dOe7L3-2eCk__CgmV0bZhW/s400/TS_Elida.gif" border="0" /></a>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-50314148614150491462008-07-12T21:35:00.000-07:002008-12-11T07:03:46.359-08:00Tropical Storm ElidaTropical Storm Elida formed just off the southern coasts of Mainland Mexico early on Saturday.<br /><br />Elida jumped from a tropical disturbance to Tropical Storm strength in less than 12 hours and current NHC forecasts are showing that she may reach hurricane wind speeds by early next week (probably late on Monday). Currently Elida is tracking WNW at about 18 knots and has just started to move into the Tip of Baja’s swell window. Forecasts are calling for a slight shift to a more WNW’erly angle over the next day or so (300-degree track instead of a 290-295 degree one), which will be better for swell production for Baja.<br /><br />Unfortunately it looks like Elida is going to hit cooler water and start and more westerly storm track before it gets to the Southern California swell window. The fact that it be losing intensity, taking a more oblique track, and is still forecast to be moving at nearly 15-18 knots is really going to hamper its ability to send swell our direction.<br /><br />Check out the latest forecast track from NHC<br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgFYfRPB9xii-11P-39fhTxn5aH0U8Mh5ZrROEAOvQEU4Wc4tiYQx2kudPxTYvdpFTBXjEikMpy-i5Zq7nP8_NIbC7Zsj-iMhzcUuuw9KPluEYj_2PmB8mGTngmNfnddWIpm6nZzUZc/s1600-h/Elida_windows.jpg"><img id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5222352928738389234" style="CURSOR: hand" alt="" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgFYfRPB9xii-11P-39fhTxn5aH0U8Mh5ZrROEAOvQEU4Wc4tiYQx2kudPxTYvdpFTBXjEikMpy-i5Zq7nP8_NIbC7Zsj-iMhzcUuuw9KPluEYj_2PmB8mGTngmNfnddWIpm6nZzUZc/s400/Elida_windows.jpg" border="0" /></a><br /><br />When you get down to brass tacks from a surf perspective Cabo and the East Cape down in Baja will get some swell from Elida…likely it will be in the overhead range, (and maybe bigger) if the storm can intensify and slow down its movement westward. I would expect swell to begin showing on Monday (July 14th) strengthening through the day and then peaking on Tuesday and maybe into Wednesday before dropping off. I am not sure if it is really worth a trip down there unless you have some disposable income to burn, since it is still a roll-of-the-dice that the storm will get stronger and have a chance to generate much of a swell.<br /><br />For SoCal, at this point, I am not expecting much from Elida. We may see some background SE energy from her if she can hang on long enough to make it to our swell window. Likely anything she produces will get lost in building swell that we have arriving from the Southern Hemisphere later next week.<br /><br />If something changes for SoCal I will definitely let you guys know.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-33334519253448739072008-07-03T12:11:00.000-07:002008-07-03T12:13:03.068-07:00Friday's Surf in Baja Sur - Where big-ass fireworks are legalFriday will be a surf day...again it looks like the Tip and the East Cape will be the best thanks to some swell from Tropical Depression Douglas (downgraded from a Tropical Storm Thursday night).<br /><br />We will have a mix of SW swell, tropical S swell, and some local windswell.<br /><br />Average spots throughout Baja Sur will be in the waist-chest high+ range...with a few bigger waves at the standout combo spots.<br /><br />Cabo and the East Cape will be the biggest with the tropical swell...most spots there will hold in the chest-shoulder high+ range while the standout S facing spots see some head high+ sets through the early morning and then dropping fast by the afternoon.<br /><br />If you are from the US, either an ex-pat or on Vacation have a great holiday...everyone else, you guys have a great time too! Try not to blow yourselves up.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-30108418026562152142008-07-02T17:17:00.001-07:002008-07-02T17:17:49.521-07:00Thursday's Surf in Baja Sur - Is that TS Douglas I smell?Thursday looks like a surf day for most of Baja Sur but it looks particularly good for the Tip and the East Cape as TS Douglas strengthens and slowly tracks toward Baja Sur (before veering off to the NW before it gets very close to land.)<br /><br />We will have a mix of SW energy from the Southern Hemisphere, local WNW windswell, and slowly increasing tropical S swell from TS Douglas (and fading energy from Boris).<br /><br />Most exposed spots will see waist-shoulder high surf. Standout S facing spots along the Tip will have consistent shoulder-head high surf by the afternoon...maybe even a touch bigger at the standout spots. Expect lots of consistency at the breaks that can pick up the tropical swell...the lesser exposed areas will have longer waits for waves.<br /><br />If possible I would plan on staying around the Tip and the East Cape if you can. Douglas is not forecast to strengthen past Tropical Storm strength but there is always a chance that he could become more intense which would put bigger surf into the exposed breaks.<br /><br />If you are not down there and are sort of on the fence about pulling the trigger to get a flight...I think that this swell/storm is still sort of a roll of the dice. It will be fun but not really worth spending a ton of money trying to chase it around.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-53316584764556219832008-07-02T17:16:00.000-07:002008-12-11T07:03:46.520-08:00Tropical Storm Douglas - setting up some waves for the Tip of BajaWell we went from almost from 0-to-60 in the tropics over the last few days. We have had 3 named storms develop since June 27th and now the National Hurricane Center is forecasting another named system to develop in the next day or so.<br /><br />Currently one of the three named storms is the former TD-4E which strengthened into Tropical Storm Douglas earlier this morning.<br /><br />Check out the latest forecast run for TS Douglas<br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhm7PV_tmBTiBpeSuU3z5PXH8snBDuFvhw6u-z2iJ_hka2iGj9nB0mhazt2MvW9ZwpYFHjcB3vaD1c2nCztO23HtIYlopr4OqOP2uOkuGHqJ1VsDEVO8I3x9hI5LSlKeSf2b3EFIj7q/s1600-h/TS-Douglas.jpg"><img id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5218574328421038658" style="CURSOR: hand" alt="" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhm7PV_tmBTiBpeSuU3z5PXH8snBDuFvhw6u-z2iJ_hka2iGj9nB0mhazt2MvW9ZwpYFHjcB3vaD1c2nCztO23HtIYlopr4OqOP2uOkuGHqJ1VsDEVO8I3x9hI5LSlKeSf2b3EFIj7q/s400/TS-Douglas.jpg" border="0" /></a><br /><br /><strong>Waves for SoCal (yeah not so much)</strong><br />As you can see from the red line TS Douglas is still out of the Southern California swell window but he is inching closer as he tracks to the NW at 8 knots. At this pace it looks like the surf-generating parts of the storm (the NE and SE) won't actually move into the swell window until some time later on Friday...unfortunately it doesn't look like Douglas is going to get much stronger so I don't think he will be much of a wave maker for SoCal...some small waves...but nothing to get real fired up about. If anything shows it won't be until we move into the weekend...likely later on Saturday and into Sunday.<br /><br /><strong>Waves for Baja Sur</strong><br />Baja Sur, in particular the Tip, is looking much better in terms of getting surf from TS Douglas. He is positioned only a few hundred miles from Cabo and while he doesn't have great overall wind speeds he is well-positioned and moving the right direction which really help generate swell. At this point it looks like the expose areas around the Tip and the East Cape will start to see new tropical S swell move in on Thursday afternoon and then peak into Friday. I expect wave heights to hold in the shoulder-head high range at the better exposed S facing breaks. Remember those sizes are at the Tip...wave height and set consistency will drop off the further north you move up the Pacific Side.<br /><br /><strong>Waves for NorCal</strong><br />We have a tropical region?Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-50476957554957069112008-06-25T17:55:00.000-07:002008-06-25T17:56:31.085-07:00Thursday’s Surf in Baja Sur – waiting for more swellThursday will be a surf day but it will be on the small side…really it will be a better day to get into position for the next SW swell which arrives on Friday and holds into the weekend.<br /><br />On Thursday most spots will see a mix of SW swell and local windswell. Average breaks will be in the waist-chest high+ range while the standout SW spots and the great combo spots see some shoulder-head high waves on inconsistent sets.<br /><br />The biggest waves will be on the Pacific Side…Cabo and the East Cape will be pretty small.<br /><br />I actually think the beach breaks will be a bit more consistent, and a little more rideable than most other breaks on Thursday…just due mostly to the swell inconsistency and smaller size…the windswell could help cross up the beach breaks a bit better and fill in the gaps of the swell.<br /><br />Again I wouldn’t drive very far to get waves on Thursday…but I would use the day to get to a better SW spot so I could get the better swell that hits over the weekend.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-24265937055165327792008-06-24T17:18:00.000-07:002008-06-24T17:19:29.864-07:00Wednesday's Surf in Baja Sur - A new little bump of SW swellWednesday will be a surf day but overall it will be on the small side, particularly when you compare it to the last couple of weeks.<br /><br />We will have a mix of a new, peaking, SW pulse (210-220), SW leftovers, and some local NW windswell.<br /><br />Pacific Side spots will be the biggest with the average breaks holding around waist-chest high and the top spots hitting closer to shoulder high. There may be a few bigger sets on the tide push but expect them to be on the inconsistent side.<br /><br />Cabo and the East Cape will be smaller with mostly knee-waist high waves at the average spots and some rare chest high waves at the standouts (with the good tides).<br /><br />I wouldn't plan on driving very far for surf on Wednesday...if you happen to find a sort-of fun/playful section I would set up camp and surf it until you can't ride it anymore...it won't be worth driving further for a similar sized wave.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-38154599457336660632008-06-18T17:22:00.000-07:002008-06-18T17:23:49.996-07:00Vacation and Long-Range ForecastHey gang I just wanted to give you a heads up...one of my best friends is being deployed to Iraq (he flies a Blackhawk for the Army), so I am finally going to take a couple of days off to hang out (and throw a party naturally) with him before he ships out.<br /><br />So I am posting a long-range surf forecast for Baja Sur the next few days...If my liver is still working at the end of this weekend I should be back and have an update for Monday's forecast. See you then!<br /><br />Here is the forecast...there are not a lot of changes over the next few days...just plenty of SW swell (and local windswell)<br /><br />Thursday through Sunday will be a good time to be down in Baja Sur. A new SW swell (195-215) moved in on Wednesday and will be holding size into Thursday. This will be followed by a new SW'er that comes up early on Friday and holds into Saturday morning before slowly fading out through the end of the weekend.<br /><br />Through this run of SW energy the better SW exposed breaks on the Pacific Side will be in the chest-head high range while the standout spots see consistent head high and overhead sets through early Saturday...eventually backing down to about chest-shoulder high by Sunday.<br /><br />Cabo San Lucas/East Cape breaks will be smaller with waves holding in the waist-chest high range Thursday through Saturday at the average spots. Standouts will have some bigger head high sets sneaking through at times (some of the really exposed breaks may be a touch larger as well). Sunday most spots will back down to about waist-chest on the bigger sets.<br /><br />Winds look pretty standard for the next several days with NW flow around 10-15+ knots for most exposed breaks along the Pacific Side and variable onshore flow through Cabo and the East Cape (cleanest in the mornings). Afternoon NW winds will top out around 15-20 knots for most areas.<br /><br />Anyway hope this gets you through the next few days...have a great weekend! (Ha I am on Vacation!)Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-37712154883821756852008-06-17T20:20:00.000-07:002008-06-17T20:21:25.904-07:00Wednesday’s surf in Baja Sur – Still pumping…and still making me sad that I am not there.SW swell continues to peak on Wednesday. It will definitely be a surf day.<br /><br />I sort of hate writing this just because I wish I was down surfing some lonely right-handed point break. Instead I am chained to this silly computer. Basically if you can find a SW facing spot you can expect another round of consistent shoulder-head high surf with some sets going a couple of feet overhead at the standout spots. Expect the biggest surf to continue to show on the Pacific Side but with some still playful (but slightly smaller) waves showing around the tip and the East Cape.<br /><br />NW winds will continue to blow through most of Baja Sur…expect 10-20 knot+ winds along the Pacific side and slightly more swirly/variable directions showing around the Tip/East CapeAnonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-73396608202256753712008-06-16T17:24:00.000-07:002008-06-16T17:25:09.523-07:00Tuesday's Surf in Baja Sur - Don't come backTuesday will be a surf day.<br /><br />New SW swell (195-220) will start to fill in on Tuesday and will peak through the afternoon and into Wednesday. Looks like this new swell will move in, reinforce the existing SW swell, and will mix with a bit of the local NW windswell that continues to run down the coast.<br /><br />Average breaks with decent SW exposure will continue to see shoulder-head high sets with a few overhead sets mixing in at times. Standout SW breaks, mostly on the Pacific Side, will have waves going a couple of feet overhead on the best sets.<br /><br />Winds are looking pretty standard for the Peninsula...mostly NW winds around 5 knots through the morning and then gusts hitting around 10-20 knots at the more exposed breaks by the afternoon.<br /><br />East Cape and Cabo spots will be a touch smaller again on this SW swell direction (thanks to some shadowing by the Tip). It will still be fun but a couple of feet smaller than you will see on the Pacific Side. Winds down through the tip look a little lighter as well...mostly variable S winds through the morning and W wind around 10-15 knots by the afternoon.<br /><br />Points and Reefs on the Pacific side will be the best call on Tuesday. Lots of waves, decent winds if they have some better protection. Personally I think I would stay at the longer point breaks...if only because they will offer a few different wave selections...and shit man you can ride them forever if you connect through the sections.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-40261310882840034252008-06-13T16:52:00.000-07:002008-06-13T16:53:45.600-07:00Surf for the weekend in Baja Sur - the second course (or is it the 3rd?)Even more SW swell arrives over the weekend setting up a couple more "surf days" for Saturday and Sunday.<br /><br />Look for the new SW'er to peak on Saturday, hold into Sunday, and then slowly start to fade on Monday (don't worry though...yet another SW swell shows next Tuesday).<br />Wave heights will continue to run in the chest-head high range for most SW facing spots. Standout Pacific Side breaks will have surf in the shoulder-overhead range on the sets with a few sets going a couple feet overhead on the better tides.<br /><br />Cabo and the East Cape will have slightly smaller surf...more in the chest-shoulder high range with some head high+ sets at the top exposed breaks.<br /><br />I think the points will have the best shape this weekend...reefs will be good too but I think the longer point-breaks will be more fun, and offer up more wave choices (big on the outside and smooth and playful on the inside). I do think that it will be worth driving a little further to hunt around for better surf...particularly if you have a few different points/reefs in the area to choose from.<br /><br />Winds will continue to be on the light/moderate side. Look for NW flow around 10 knots for the mornings and gusts near 15 knots by the afternoons.<br /><br />Overall it should be a great surf weekend in Baja...I wish that my father's day present was to sit at some lonely point break down that way.<br /><br />Have a great weekend and an excellent Father's Day!Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-40621083421288166812008-06-12T18:20:00.000-07:002008-06-12T18:21:31.409-07:00Friday’s Surf in Baja Sur – Small, rideable, and waiting for the next swellFriday will be a surf day…but it is going to feel like the ocean is on mute after the last few days of swell.<br /><br />Our SW’er will have wound down to just playful sizes in most areas…look for lots of waist-chest high waves at the average spots while the standout areas see some bigger chest-shoulder high sets mixing in at times.<br /><br />Biggest surf will be along the Pacific side…Cabo and the East Cape will be quite a bit weaker.<br /><br />Overall it will be a good day to recover from the bigger surf early in the week. Have a couple beers, fish, do some chores…just rest the arms.<br />There is more SW swell on the way that starts filling in on Saturday and will peak into Sunday…so expect more overhead surf at the top spots as we head into the weekend.<br /><br />Yeah for more swell!Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-8057067486884692802008-06-10T12:28:00.000-07:002008-06-10T12:29:26.254-07:00Wednesday’s Surf in Baja Sur – Lots o SW swellWednesday will continue the trend of good surf days.<br /><br />SW swell continues to push in throughout the day but it will start to lose a little steam off the bigger waves. Expect a very slow and gradual fade in wave heights as we move into the afternoon.<br /><br />Expect the average SW facing breaks to have surf in the shoulder-head high range while the standout SW spots on the Pacific Side pull in overhead+ sets.<br /><br />Winds will continue to push out of the NW around 10-15 knots for most of the Pacific side breaks. Cabo and the East Cape can expect the variable-S morning winds before shifting more to the W around 10-13 knots for the afternoon.<br /><br />I still think that points and reefs will be the call on Wednesday…they are going to be able to hold the shape better, offer longer rides, and easier paddles than the more walled up beach breaks.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-48372214685163223892008-06-09T18:23:00.001-07:002008-06-09T18:23:32.440-07:00Tuesday's Surf - Seriously why are you reading this?Tuesday is going to be another pretty sick surf day in Baja Sur. There is going to be plenty of waves from our still peaking SW swell. Most spots will be overhead with top spots seeing sets going several feet overhead on slightly inconsistent sets.<br /><br />I think the points are going to be the call on this swell...(reefs too if they can hold the size.) The points are going to have the classic large size on the outside and more workable sizes as you get to inside sections. If you stick to the points there should be something for everyone to surf.<br /><br />Really though you should be down there already (unless you are reading this via satellite internet connection)...if you are sitting in the US still then you are just being a masochist. (I am just saying).Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-69400491200076288342008-06-06T18:48:00.001-07:002008-06-06T18:48:57.010-07:00Weekend Surf in Baja Sur - You'll get some good waves...you lucky jerksSaturday, Sunday, and Monday will all be surf days...hell you guys will have waves all the way through the 11th.<br /><br />For the weekend though look for waves in the waist-shoulder high range at the average SW facing spots (mostly along the Pacific side and some of the really exposed breaks along the tip of Baja). The Standout Pacific side breaks will see sets in the head high and even slightly overhead range.<br /><br />The tides will be a bit of an issue at times but if you stick to spots that can work on a variety of tides you should be ok.<br /><br />Again expect sets to be a bit on the inconsistent side but fun when they show...I would stick with the exposed points and reefs for the best shape.<br /><br />Have fun...hopefully you aren't sitting at home reading this and kicking yourself because you aren't down surfing in Baja somewhere. (like I am)<br /><br />Have a great weekend!Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-46866275811937093012008-06-05T17:32:00.001-07:002008-06-05T17:39:58.383-07:00Friday's Surf - waves, waves, and more wavesFriday will be a surf day thanks to the mix of slowly building SW swell and generally surfable conditions.<br /><br />The first leg of our SW swell train will continue to peak on Friday. Most spots will have surf in the chest-high range while the standout Pacific Side standouts see some shoulder high+ sets at times. Waves will be a little inconsistent, especially on the drained out low tides, but there will be plenty to ride if the crowd isn't bad at your spot.<br /><br />Winds look pretty typical and similar to the last few days. Light NW flow for the Pacific Side in the mornings and cleaner S-SW winds for Cabo/East Cape areas. Then NW-W winds 10-15+ knots on tap for most areas by the afternoon.<br /><br />Points and Reefs will likely be the most fun shapewise...beach breaks may have a few combo sets...but if you drove all the way to Baja to surf a beach break I may throw rocks at you when you get home.<br /><br />Plan on getting lots of fun waves over the weekend and into early next week as more and more SW energy arrives over the next several days. Check back I will have another update (for the weekend) tomorrow.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-41666130350350420642008-06-04T18:26:00.000-07:002008-06-04T18:27:15.787-07:00Thursday's Surf in Baja Sur - Slowly building (I think I said that already)Thursday looks like a surf day at the top SW facing breaks.<br /><br />SW swell continues to slowly build as we move throughout the day on Thursday. Wave heights will still be around waist-chest high+ for most areas but those size sets will be more consistent and we should start seeing some shoulder high waves mix in on the better tides.<br /><br />The standout areas will have some inconsistent shoulder-head high sets starting to filter in as we head into the morning tide push. It will probably be a bit soft on the higher afternoon tides but expect the energy to continue to build overnight into Friday.<br /><br />Winds are still holding around 10-20 knots out of the NW with the lightest conditions showing through the morning. Cabo breaks continue to see the slight eddy with S winds coming onshore around midmorning and then turning W at 10-15 knots by the afternoon.<br /><br />Again look for the best waves at the top spots (areas that can really focus a SW swell)...don't spend a lot of time checking the backup breaks.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-27907164004880144242008-06-03T18:38:00.000-07:002008-06-03T18:47:17.956-07:00Wednesday’s Surf in Baja Sur – A slow pick up (in swell...not an actual slow pick-up truck)Wednesday looks a little breezy but there will be new waves in the water.<br /><br />Look for a building SW swell (190-210) moving into the area on Wednesday along with an increasing push of local WNW windswell.<br /><br />Most spots will be in the waist-chest high range while the standout SW facing spots start to see some chest-shoulder high waves sneaking through by the lower tides in the afternoon. A few of the really well-exposed combo spots may have a few bigger waves showing by the afternoon but will likely have wind problems as well.<br /><br />Winds will be out of the NW around 10-20 knots (lightest in the morning) on Wednesday. Cabo and San Jose Del Cabo will be the exception…look for a slight eddy off the Tip of Baja…with slight S winds around 2-5 knots through the morning and W winds around 10-15 knots by the afternoon.<br /><br />I still wouldn’t waste a ton of gas driving from spot to spot on Wednesday…if you find a wave get out and surf. Personally I would still be planning on using the day to get to a good SW facing spot so that I would be in position for the bigger SW swell that arrives over the next few days…but hey that is just me :)<br /><div></div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5394558202377004766.post-83380707055789363242008-06-02T18:53:00.001-07:002008-06-02T18:54:27.573-07:00Tuesday's Surf in Baja Sur - Mostly leftoversTuesday will be a small surf day.<br /><br />We will have a mix of S-SW energy and some local NW windswell. Neither one will be amounting to a ton of surf. Most of the windswell will be coming in from such a steep NW angle that it will bypass all but the well-exposed winter breaks. The S-SW swell is mostly leftover energy so set consistency and surf height will be on the slow side.<br /><br />Most areas can expect surf to hold in the knee-waist high+ range while the standouts see some chest high+ waves on the best sets. Shape looks ok in the morning but the building tide and increasing onshore winds will hamper rideability by the afternoon.<br /><br />I wouldn't plan on scoring a lot of surf on Tuesday...or Wednesday even...but I do think these will be good travel days. If you can get to a decent SW facing spot by the end of the week you will be in position to start scoring the next series of SW swells coming out of the South Pacific.<br /><br />Here is a link to a long-range look at the swells that start arriving over this upcoming weekend.<br /><br /><a href="http://bajaforecast.blogspot.com/2008/05/travel-swell-alert-another-large-sw.html">http://bajaforecast.blogspot.com/2008/05/travel-swell-alert-another-large-sw.html</a>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12486282789841401406noreply@blogger.com0